اخبار 5\5\20006 اليومية

[Storm X]

[20:43 US GOVTS: Events Diary for Friday, May 5] Boston, May 4.
[Data]
* 12:30 Apr Nonfarm Payrolls (mkt +200k, prev +211k)
* 12:30 Apr Unemployment Rate (mkt 4.7%, prev 4.7%)
* 12:30 Apr Average Hourly Earnings (mkt +0.3% m/m, prev +0.3% m/m)
* 12:30 Apr Work Week (mkt 33.8 hours, prev 33.8 hours)
* 19:00 Mar Consumer Credit (mkt $4.1 bln, prev $3.3 bln)
[Events]
* 14:30 Asst. Sec for Economic Policy Warshawsky"s Monthly Economic Brief
[Issuance]
* no Treasury or Agency debt auctions scheduled

[Storm X]

for Friday, May 5] San Francisco, May 4.
* Bond Market Expects 10-Year JGB Yield to Hit 2% in July: Quick - Nikkei
* Big Supermarket Operators Boost Capital Spending to 6-Yr High - Nikkei
* Corporate Bond Offers drop 22% in April on Higher Rates - Nikkei
* Asia Currencies and Eurozone Rates send Dollar to Low - FT
* Pressure Grows in Zimbabwe to Devalue Currency - FT
* Reuters and CME Team Up on Forex - FT
* Dairy, Juice Prices To Rise Due To Rising Fuel Costs - News.com.au
* HKMA Yam Warns of Prime Rates Overshooting - HK Standard
* Thai Baht Falls Amid New Unrest - HK Standard
* Housing, Oil, Food: the price rises bite - Sydney Morning Herald

[Storm X]

San Francisco, May 4. Central
Bank reserve data is available on our website at www.ifrmarkets.com. Look under
"Forex Watch" and then "Macro Flows" and click on Central Bank Reserve Data.

[دمغان]

جزاك الله خير أخى العزيز أبوعلى

على نقل مثل هذه البيانات لنا 00000فهى مهمه ولابد ان تاخذ فى الحسبان

[Storm X]

San
Francisco, May 4. Australia's trade deficit is expected to continue falling from
year ago levels, though the market and IFR look for it to more than double from
February's four-year low of A$595m. IFR expects a A$1.25bn deficit while the
median market forecast is at A$1.30bn, down by half from the A$2.46bn shortfall
in March 2005. This would pull the deficit for the year to March down to a
three-year low of A$16.7bn from A$17.9bn in February, and the record A$26.1bn
reached a year ago. After surging in February, exports are expected to pull
back in March, though the 2.8% decline IFR expects would still see exports at
their third highest on record, and 20.9% higher than a year ago. Imports are
seen rising back 1.1% after slipping in February, to be 10.1% up on the year.
April should see a bigger rise thanks to record oil prices, but should also see
the impact of rising export prices to keep the deficit trending lower.

[Storm X]

جزاك الله خير أخى العزيز أبوعلى

على نقل مثل هذه البيانات لنا 00000فهى مهمه ولابد ان تاخذ فى الحسبان

مشكور اخوي دمغان طبعا اهي توصلني اول باول
اذا كنت يم الكمبيوتر انقلها لكم اول باول وبشكل يومي

[Storm X]

San
Francisco, May 4. Dow Jones is reporting a story just released from BusinessWeek
quoting Fed"s Geithner who states that the housing sector is cooling, but there
is no evidence of a consumer spending slowdown. He notes that the world has
handled the oil price rise surprisingly well and that the world will be "living
for the next decade with the shadow" caused by global imbalances.
The USD is gaining back some ground in early Asia as traders square up ahead of
US jobs data on Friday. EUR/USD is at 1.2698 and USD/JPY at 113.61.

[بوشهد]

بوعلى الترجمة جنه هندي اللى يترجم فى الغوغل مايطلع مضبوووووووووط:d :d :d :d

[Storm X]

بوعلى الترجمة جنه هندي اللى يترجم فى الغوغل مايطلع مضبوووووووووط:d :d :d :d

بوشهد تتعلم حاول تقراها وحط يمك دكشنري ترى شوي شوي

هم تتعلم لغة

والله باحاول انزلها لكم مترجمه بلهجتنا المحلية :)

[Storm X]

Sydney May 5.
After briefly falling to 0.7650 in London the pairing rallied to 0.7730 on the
weaker USD in NY and strong commodity prices, with fresh highs in copper and
gold closing at USD676.5, up USD8. Offers ahead of barriers at 0.7750 capped the
pairing and there will also be offers in the AUD/JPY ahead of 88.00, which has
been a range high since February.
The major event locally is the RBA"s Statement on Monetary Policy, due at 01.30
GMT, which will outline the RBA's current stance on the economic outlook and
interest rates. Sentiment is that this week"s rate rise was pre-emptive and
rates should remain steady in the next few months, though some analysts expect a
further rise in Q4. We expect a fairly optimistic assessment of the economy,
with rising commodity prices and the tight labour market providing potential
inflationary pressures. We look for range trading 0.7700/50 into the RBA
statement, in thin markets due to the Tokyo holiday. The AUD/USD trades

[Storm X]

Sydney May 5. The
Statement on Monetary Policy also stated that the risks to inflation forecasts
have moved to the upside; headline CPI to be higher than 2.75%, but likely to
decline to 2.5%/3% in due course. The forecasts are based on an oil price of
around USD70. Growth is expected to accelerate to 3%/3.5% by the end of 2007.
The statement paints an upbeat picture of the economy, but does not threaten
further rate rises in the short-term, unless there is a significant change in
the economic climate.

[Storm X]

The EUR/USD opened at 1.2690 in Asia, buoyed by Trichet"s
hawkish tone overnight and comments from the Netherland"s Zalm saying that the
high EUR cushions Europe from the high oil price effect. The pairing traded in a
tight 1.2685/1.2713 range in Asia, dominated by Eur/JPY flows and position
adjustment. Dealers report bids at 1.2665/75 and offers ahead of 1.2750, which
should contain the pairing into the payroll data in the U.S. tonight.
Technically the current uptrend remains strong and there is now little
significant resistance ahead of 1.2890, 61.8% retracement of the fall in 2005
from 1.3665 to 1.1665, though the highly overbought RSI, stochastic and ADX all
flag that a correction is due.
The payrolls this month will be especially important for the market, as Fed
Chairman Mr Bernanke stated future Fed interest rate policy is sensitive to the
next round of data. The market is looking for a figure of around 200k and a
significant deviation from this figure will initiate the next significant move.
The current bearish USD sentiment will continue on a figure close to 200K. (ams)

[Storm X]

04:43 GMT May 5th] The USD/JPY opened around 113.65 in Asia, in the middle of yesterday"s range, after comments from the ECB"s Trichet, Japan"s Tanigaki and the Chinese Finance Minister Jin Renqing had driven offshore volatility. Dealersreport that liquidity was at a premium today in the Asian session, as Tokyo remains on holiday. The USD/JPY initially dipped to 113.43 and then subsequentlyrebounded to test 113.80, with U.S. names noted buyers on the way up, before settling around 113.70. Initial resistance on the USD/JPY comes in at the 10 dayM/A at 114.00, with last night"s high just above at 114.20. Expect bids around 113.25 to provide a base into the U.S. payrolls tonight.The JPY moves have resulted in the EUR/JPY, which opened at 144.25 dipping to 144.06 and then testing 144.42. There are offers ahead of 144.50, last night"s high, with trader stops building above. Initial support comes in at 143.85/00, the prior range high"s. The downtrend on the cross remains in place, though consolidation at the lower levels has been the main feature of "Golden Week". The U.S. Payroll data will be the key for the USD/JPY tonight. (ams)
[IFR Forex Watch]
[USD/JPY OUTLOOK]

[بوشهد]

بوعلى يعيطك العافية على الاخبار السريعة...............
تريغت:d

[Storm X]

بوعلى يعيطك العافية على الاخبار السريعة...............
تريغت:d

الحمدالله :)
الله يعافيك يارب

[Storm X]

The Kiwi opened at 0.6410, briefly tested 0.6417 and
subsequently fell to 0.6382, as a U.S. investment house bought the AUD/NZD. The
Kiwi then recovered over the balance of the session to trade around 0.6410, as
the AUD/NZD slipped back to 1.2000. Bids at 0.6350/60 and offers around
0.6440/50 should define the range into the payrolls data in the U.S. tonight.
A busy session on the AUD/NZD saw a U.S. investment house take the pairing from
1.2030 to 1.2070 in the morning, taking out stops above 1.2050 on the way. The
pairing then retreated for the balance of the day to test 1.1985. Although the
RBA painted a buoyant picture of the Australian economy in the Statement on
Monetary Policy, the outlook for interest rates remains on hold in the coming
month"s unless there is a change in economic circumstances, which prompted a
round of profit taking on long cross positions. We expect bids ahead of 1.1950
to provide a base on the cross, with initial resistance at today"s 1.2070 high
and then very little resistance on the cross ahead of 1.2185/00, a weekly high
in April 02 and the 2% Envelope.

[Storm X]

The AUD/USD opened this morning around 0.7715 and has traded a
range so far of 0.7676/0.7729. The AUD was buffeted today by poor trade data
[42342] and a RBA statement that gave little indication that there would be
further moves in interest rates although they said that inflation risks lie
largely to the upside. The market was trading around 0.7710 at the time of the
announcement with support at the figure and 90 giving way to see the AUD/USD
touch the day"s lows of 0.7676 before recovering slightly to close around
0.7685. Whilst the AUD/USD has had mostly good news this week (interest rate
rise, strong base and precious metal prices and a weak US dollar) and is up a
cent and a half from its low the market still needs more impetus to continue its
journey towards 80 cents and beyond. A lot of market participants are comparing
the AUD to the CAD and saying it is the next big mover. Whilst this may be the
case as the market does not appear to be at all structurally long, the AUD/USD
will face heavy technical resistance between 0.7750 and 0.7800 with 0.7785 the
high from September last year.